5 PM update:
In preparation for Tropical Depression 9, Governor Ron DeSantis issued an executive order, declaring a “state of emergency” for 24 Florida counties, including Sarasota and Manatee, in the likely path of the next storm.
DeSantis also requested a “Federal Declaration of Emergency Before Landfall” to provide essential resources and support to the state from the federal government. Requires President Biden’s approval.
Invest 98L formed in the Caribbean into Tropical Depression 9 and is expected to transform into Hurricane Ian early next week. The track of the National Hurricane Center Friday evening showed the center of the storm heading into Sarasota and Manatee counties, but forecasters warned there was a lot of uncertainty in forecasting the storm’s path away from the possibility of making landfall in Florida.
“In fact, these forecasts call for the system to approach the Florida peninsula as a major hurricane by day five,” said Brad Reinhart, a hurricane specialist with the National Hurricane Center.
Ninth Tropical Depression: Watch samples of spaghetti, track, and storm activity for Florida
Hurricane Guide 2022: what do you want to know?
Hurricane shelters: Where are the Sarasota Manatee hurricane shelters? When should I go?
As of 5 p.m. EDT, Tropical Depression Nine had winds of 35 mph. It was heading from west to northwest at mph. The National Hurricane Center expects some slow strengthening over the next day or so, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by Friday night. The NHC is also expecting more significant intensification on Sunday and Monday, with the system expected to turn into a hurricane by early Monday.
There is still a great deal of uncertainty in the path outlook in the 4-5 day time frame. After the system forms in a tropical storm, a more accurate forecast will be possible.
If Tropical Depression Nine became a defining storm, it would likely be called Ian, as another storm in the eastern Atlantic is likely to develop into a tropical storm even faster.
Will Hurricane Ian hit Sarasota, Manati?
Although Tropical Depression IX isn’t expected to turn into Hurricane Ian until late Sunday or early Monday, most predictive models show it to affect Florida near Sarasota and Manatee counties. However, forecasters warn that there is still a lot of uncertainty in the forecast for the storm’s path.
“The path is still a bit uncertain,” said Christian Pierce, a meteorologist at NWS Tampa. “The (storm) center is wobbly in the early stages. We’re also not sure it’s going to definitely make that turn toward Florida.”
When will Hurricane Ian hit Sarasota, Manati?
If the National Hurricane Center and other forecasts are correct, Tropical Depression 9 will steadily increase in intensity, becoming Hurricane Hermine by Monday morning, and affect Florida in the Sarasota-Manatee area sometime on Wednesday.
Stay tuned for the storm: Download the updated Herald-Tribune app
Hurricane Guide: Tips for staying connected before, during and after the storm
Sarasota-Manatee government response
Manatee County is partially reactivating the Emergency Operations Center this afternoon, but without permanent staff for now, said Bill Logan, the county’s director of media outreach, noting this as a move of unusual caution.
Sarasota County officials released a statement on their social media Friday morning, saying they are monitoring the progress of the storm.
“We haven’t been activated (in the event of an emergency) yet,” said Brian Grant, the county’s media relations officer. “We monitor all activities and recommend residents to review their plans, prepare relocation groups and visit our website for checklists and storm advice.”
Where can I get sandbags in Sarasota-Manati before Hurricane Ian?
The City of Venice has announced that the Department of Public Works will provide sandbags to residents starting Sunday, September 25, from noon to 6 p.m. in Wellfield Park off Pinebrook Road.
These are self-filling stations. There is a limit of 10 sandbags per household while supplies are running out and shovels will be provided. Residents are encouraged to bring their own bags in case the town runs out, as well as their own shovels to speed up the process.
Sarasota County will also begin sandbag operations on Sunday, September 25, from noon to 6 p.m. at three locations.
Ed Smith Stadium, 2700 12th Street, Sarasota.
Twin Lakes Park, 6700 Clark Rd, Sarasota.
South County Fleet, SAR 4571 776 / Englewood Rd, Venice.
Buckets and bags will be available on site, with a maximum of 10 sandbags per vehicle.
Sandbag operations are also scheduled for Monday, September 26, from 9 am to 7 pm
Tropical Depression 9 (possibly Hurricane Ian) National Hurricane Center Update
As of 5 p.m. on September 23:
Location: 430 miles east – southeast of Kingston, Jamaica
Max wind speed: 35 mph
Direction: West-Northwest at 14 mph
Next advice: 11 p.m. ET
At 5 p.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near 14.7 north latitude and 71.3 west longitude. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph.
There is now a Hurricane Watch in effect for the Cayman Islands and a Tropical Storm Watch in effect in Jamaica.
On the forecast path, the center of the hurricane is expected to move through the central Caribbean through Saturday, pass south of Jamaica on Saturday night and Sunday, and approach the Cayman Islands Sunday night and Monday morning.
Maximum wind speed is approaching 35 mph with higher gusts. Some slow reinforcement is expected over the next day or so, and depression is expected to turn into a tropical storm tonight. More significant intensification is expected on Sunday and Monday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 MB (29.71 in).
This article originally appeared on the Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Is Hurricane Coming to Florida? Sarasota is currently in the storm’s path
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