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NFL Week 3 prop picks: Back Tyreek Hill to torch the Buffalo Bills




With a full list of NFL games on Sunday, player support options abound.

Pre-narration: Tyreek Hill is ready to exploit secondary Buffalo Bills, David Montgomery is ready for success against the Houston Texans and Adam Thielen is flying under the radar on the Minnesota Vikings.

Check out our NFL Week 3 support picks below.

Odds are as of 2:43 PM on 09/23/2022.

NFL Week 3 Support Picks

Best Bet: Hill Over 74.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

We made this pick in our best bets in week three, but we think it has value on its own.

Hill made his debut as a member of the Miami Dolphins with a ranked game of eight catches and 94 yards. He followed this up by setting fire to the Baltimore Ravens up to 190 yards and two landings. We expect his third season to be quite impressive.

Buffalo’s defense has been elite this year, but the injury bug appears to have arrived early.

Micah Hyde and Dane Jackson were disqualified, while Tre’Davious White remained in IR. Jordan Boyer is training but his role may be limited.

We would expect Hill to be fed by three–perhaps four–minor members of the unavailable Buffalo.

Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel also appears to be a hardworking guy. Hill set this Bills on fire repeatedly as a member of the Kansas City Chiefs, going for 172 and 150 yards respectively in back-to-back playoffs.

Look for McDaniel to exploit similar vulnerabilities against the now delicate Buffalo High School.


Basic stats: Hill’s 25 goals are the third-highest number of goals a player can score in two weeks of play.

Quick selections

Montgomery over 69.5 yards (-117): Montgomery was the focus of Matt Eberflus’ game plan against the Packers last week and we believe that will continue against the Texans.

The fourth-year comeback slipped for 122 yards in 15 loads while Justin Fields threw the ball just 11 times.

Houston’s impulsive defense looks suspicious, too. Jonathan Taylor scored 161 in the season opener while Jafonte Williams netted 75 yards to the ground last week.

Thielen Anytime TD (+123): With Justin Jefferson taking over the undisputed WR1 position in Minnesota, it’s easy to forget about Thielen. The 32-year-old receiver recorded the fifth biggest touchdown of any player since 2019 (30) and is unlikely to be kept off the board for much longer.

He led the team with 52 yards against the Eagles, and while that number isn’t necessarily impressive, it shows his value when Jefferson consistently collaborates.

We expect Detroit to use Monday’s game as a blueprint and devote most of its resources to slowing Jefferson, which should allow Thelin some space in the red.


Avery Berry writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: Tweet embed

disclaimer This content has been produced as part of a partnership and therefore may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.


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